Russia thinks it can outsmart the US during Ukraine talks, intelligence chief says

[ad_1] LONDON -- Russian President Vladimir Putin has no want to halt Russia’s nearly 4-year-old invasion of neighboring Ukraine and thinks he can “outsmart” the US throughout talks with Washington about finish the battle, a senior European intelligence official advised The Related Press.

Kaupo Rosin, the top of Estonia’s overseas intelligence service, stated Moscow is taking part in for time within the talks with Washington and “there may be completely no dialogue about actually cooperate with the U.S. in a significant approach.”

Rosin, who spoke at an internet briefing with reporters forward of the publication of Estonia’s annual safety report on Tuesday, stated the findings had been based mostly on intelligence his nation gathered from “Russian inner discussions.” He didn't elaborate on how the data was obtained however stated the discussions confirmed that Russian officers imagine that Washington stays Moscow's “primary enemy.”

The Estonian report says Russia is unlikely to assault NATO this 12 months or subsequent however that Moscow stays harmful because it tries to construct up its armed forces.

Russian officers have publicly insisted they need a negotiated deal, however they present little willingness to compromise and stay adamant their calls for have to be met.

U.S.-brokered talks between envoys from Russia and Ukraine in latest weeks have been described by officers from either side as constructive and constructive, however there was no signal of any progress on key points within the discussions.

Russian President Vladimir Putin, “in his head, nonetheless thinks that he can truly militarily win (in Ukraine) in some unspecified time in the future,” Rosin stated.

A White Home official responded to the Estonian intelligence chief’s feedback and stated the president’s negotiators had made “great progress” on the talks to finish the battle in Ukraine. Though prisoner exchanges have occurred sporadically since Might, they pointed particularly to a latest settlement in Abu Dhabi among the many U.S., Ukraine and Russia to launch greater than 300 prisoners.

That settlement was proof that efforts to finish the battle are advancing, stated the official, who was granted anonymity as a result of they didn't have permission to talk publicly.

In a sign that U.S. President Donald Trump needs to speed up the momentum of peace efforts, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated final week that Washington has given Ukraine and Russia a June deadline to achieve a settlement. Trump over the previous 12 months has set a number of deadlines which have come and gone with out obvious penalties.

Fiona Hill, a Russia professional and adviser to Trump in his first time period, stated Trump and his officers are spinning a narrative that depicts the U.S. president as a peacemaker and, for that purpose, they aren't fascinated by altering their evaluation that Putin needs to finish the battle.

Each leaders, she advised the AP, “want their model of occasions to play out" and are hanging on to their model of the reality — Putin because the victor in Ukraine and Trump because the dealmaker.

Russian bombardments of Ukraine have continued unabated.

On Tuesday morning, Russian glide bombs killed an 11-year-old lady and her mom within the japanese Donetsk area, regional chief Vadym Filashkin stated. Seven others, together with a 7-year-old lady, had been injured.

Throughout the night time, no less than 5 individuals had been wounded, together with a toddler and two kids, in Russian drone assaults throughout Ukraine, regional authorities stated.

Though Trump has repeatedly advised that Putin needs peace, he has generally appeared annoyed with the Russian chief’s lukewarm strategy to talks.

From an intelligence perspective, Rosin stated he doesn’t know why U.S. officers imagine the Russian chief needs to finish the battle.

Hill, who served as a nationwide intelligence officer below earlier U.S. administrations, stated it is unclear what intelligence info Trump will get on Russia — or if he reads it.

He depends closely on his lead negotiators, particular envoy Steve Witkoff and son-in-law Jared Kushner, who Hill stated might battle to imagine that the injury to the Russian financial system brought on by the battle is a worth Putin is keen to pay for Ukraine.

Referring to stories that Witkoff has attended conferences with Putin with no U.S. State Division translator, she questioned if Trump's envoys understood what was being stated in conferences and advised officers could also be “selectively” searching for what they need to hear.

Putin is fixated on controlling all of Ukraine and the thought “is so deep in his head” that it takes precedence over the rest, together with economics, Rosin stated, suggesting that the battle will proceed in some kind for a number of years.

He stated Putin's place might change provided that the state of affairs in Russia, or on the entrance line, turns into “catastrophic," threatening his energy. For now, the Russian chief nonetheless believes he can take Ukraine and "outsmart all people,” Rosin stated.

One purpose Putin thinks he can win militarily in Ukraine is as a result of he's “undoubtedly” getting some incorrect info from his officers, the Estonian intelligence chief stated.

Not all Russian officers, nevertheless, imagine they're successful the battle in Ukraine, Rosin stated.

“The decrease you go within the meals chain,” the extra individuals perceive “how dangerous it's truly on the bottom,” he stated, whereas larger up, officers are extra optimistic as a result of they're given extra constructive stories. Rosin cited examples of officers being advised Russian forces had captured Ukrainian settlements when that was not true.

The stories that arrive at Putin's desk could also be “way more optimistic” than the state of affairs on the bottom as a result of Putin solely needs to see success, Rosin stated.

Hill stated each Trump and Putin are in all probability being advised what they need to hear by individuals who need to please them.

___ White Home reporter Seung Min Kim in Washington D.C. and Illia Novikov in Kyiv, Ukraine, contributed to this report. Observe AP’s protection of the battle in Ukraine at https://apnews.com/hub/russia-ukraine

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Russia thinks it can outsmart the US during Ukraine talks, intelligence chief says

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