Deadspin | WCF G1: Timberwolves-Thunder Preview, Props, Prediction

[ad_1] Feb 24, 2025; Oklahoma Metropolis, Oklahoma, USA; Minnesota Timberwolves guard Nickeil Alexander-Walker (9) goes up for a basket between Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder guard Cason Wallace (22) and ahead Jalen Williams (8) throughout the second half at Paycom Heart. Necessary Credit score: Alonzo Adams-Imagn Photographs The Oklahoma Metropolis Thunder are heavy favorites as they play host to Sport 1 of the Western Convention finals on Tuesday, however they are going to be dealing with a well-rested Minnesota Timberwolves crew.

Whereas the Thunder are recent off a Sport 7 victory towards Denver on Sunday, the Timberwolves have not performed since eliminating Golden State six days in the past.

ODDS & TRENDS

The Thunder are consensus 7.5-point favorites. That features at BetRivers, the place the Timberwolves have been a preferred underdog with 67 % of the tickets and 69 % of the cash backing them to cowl.

The Over on the 216.5-point complete bets line has drawn 92 % of the cash. That is regardless of every of Minnesota's previous 4 playoff video games the place they entered because the underdog going below the full factors line.

PROP PICKS

--Alex Caruso 2+ 3-Level FGs Made (+110 at BetRivers): Caruso has drained at the very least two three-pointers in 4 of the Thunder's previous 5 video games. He gives an much more tantalizing payout at +280 to hit three or extra on Tuesday evening.

--Julius Randle Over 19.5 Factors (-125 at DraftKings): Randle is coming off a 29-point effort in Minnesota's Sport 5 victory over Golden State, and averaged 25.2 factors for the sequence. That is after averaging 22.6 factors towards the Lakers within the earlier sequence, and Randle has scored 20-plus factors in eight of 10 playoff video games.

PLAYOFF HISTORY

The Timberwolves are within the convention finals for the second consecutive season and the third time of their historical past. Minnesota has by no means superior to the NBA Finals.

Oklahoma Metropolis is within the Western Convention finals for the primary time since 2016 and on the lookout for its first NBA Finals look since 2012.

FEELING DEFENSIVE

The sequence options two of the NBA's high defenses, each throughout the common season and within the playoffs.

The Thunder boast a 101.6 defensive score -- factors allowed per 100 possessions -- in 11 playoff video games, finest this postseason. Minnesota's 106.8 defensive score is second.

NEW ERA OF STARS

The matchup additionally options two of the league's high younger stars in Oklahoma Metropolis's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Timberwolves' Anthony Edwards.

Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 29.0 factors, 6.4 assists and 5.9 rebounds this postseason whereas Edwards is averaging 26.5 factors, 8.0 rebounds and 5.9 assists.

Gilgeous-Alexander, the front-runner for Most Beneficial Participant honors, is trying ahead to the matchup towards cousin Nickeil Alexander-Walker of Minnesota.

The 2 gamers had been born lower than two months aside in Toronto and each attended Hamilton Heights Christian Academy in Chattanooga, Tenn.

"It's going to be very enjoyable," Gilgeous-Alexander mentioned. "It is laborious to even clarify. If you know the way shut we're, he is actually like my second brother. He is been via each stage of life with me -- choosing up a basketball to going to prep college to creating the NBA, we have gone via each scenario collectively. For each of us to be the place we're is particular, to compete towards one another much more particular.

"However I'm making an attempt to take his head off for positive."

In a 2023 play-in recreation, Alexander-Walker helped maintain his cousin to a 5-of-19 capturing evening.

Alexander-Walker mentioned Gilgeous-Alexander's consistency has lifted him to a special echelon.

"That comes from diligence, laborious work, seeing it firsthand and self-discipline that in truth I have not seen in anyone else," Alexander-Walker mentioned. "I've not seen self-discipline like his. So I feel that is the primary purpose why individuals suppose he is made a leap when actually he is simply been capable of be constantly that, as a result of he is been so disciplined in his strategy."

SEASON SERIES

The groups cut up their four-game season sequence and cut up their two video games in Oklahoma Metropolis.

Minnesota's Rudy Gobert performed in simply a kind of video games -- a New Yr's Eve loss -- whereas Chet Holmgren appeared in two of the video games for the Thunder.

"Apples to apples, I do not know if these video games are the right framework via which to have a look at the sequence," Thunder coach Mark Daigneault mentioned. "It's going to be completely different."

PREDICTION

The Timberwolves have coated the unfold in 16 of their previous 17 video games as an underdog when taking part in with a relaxation benefit, in line with BetRivers. So, whereas Minnesota will probably be hard-pressed to drag a large highway upset in Sport 1, do not be shocked to see them cowl. --Thunder 116, Timberwolves 110